OceansThe GuardianNewsroom: United KingdomCountry not named in the sourceAttributed to source2026-09-25About 2 min to read this excerpt2 versionsDesk template
Would you bet on the future of our planet?
Attributed to The Guardian. EcoBriefing is not independently verifying these facts.
The Guardian is currently the only allowlisted source on the desk for this item.
What to watch next
Whether the original outlet issues a correction or update.
Whether a second independent allowlisted outlet publishes on the same development.
Whether later excerpts change the numbers or the framing.
Claim states describe the source record, not independently verified truth. Green and cyan never mean “confirmed.”
One story, multiple sources
Side-by-side. No blending into a single official conclusion. Each outlet keeps its own link.
The Guardian
2026-09-25 · attributed to source
Would you bet on the future of our planet?
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out. In the US, big online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is no…
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the pl
ENC is comparing what The Guardian published over time. This is not an independent verdict.
Previous facts
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out. In the US, big online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is no…
Recent facts
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out. In the US, big online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is no…
Attributed conclusion
The Guardian has not changed the public excerpt since the previous scan. EcoBriefing is not independently verifying the facts.
The Guardian reports the following. EcoBriefing is republishing it as an attributed briefing, not as independently confirmed fact. If this item is false or incomplete, the responsibility sits with The Guardian, which released it.
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out. In the US, big online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is no…
Original link: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/24/down-to-earth-can-you-bet-on-the-future-of-the-climate
Supporting passage from source
Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on • Don’t get Down to Earth delivered to your inbox? Sign up here How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out. In the US, big online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is no…
More on Oceans
Same topic on this desk, not a claim that these outlets agree. Each keeps its own original link.
